Monday, July 13, 2009

Switzerland Harboring 50,000 enemies of USA

We are negotiating with Switzerland to release Lists of American Citizens and Corporations that provide a "safe harbor" for untaxed dollars - USA criminals if you will. Swiss laws prevent Banks from revealing their depositors names.

I say, Invade Switzerland - gather up all these funds from all the countries in this world. Return the funds, in their entirety - to the countries of citizen origination - and make these citizens prove that the funds were legal and taxed by these countries - or - the funds would revert to that country. As for Switzerland - "Fuckem!!" Then, time to take the Swiss currently responsible, invade their funds - try them in international courts - and "away with them!"
As for the funds retrieved, the American citizens who are found to be harboring illegal funds and untaxed funds - They have a choice - Stay free in this country and allow the funds to be 100% taxed - or...take the tax and interest - and allow the criminals to spend some time in our prisons - rent free - for 10 to 25 years - to be negotiated...

I believe we would be going a long way in balancing the budget quickly with these funds.

Thursday, July 9, 2009

On Vacation - Paddling the Payette River

Monday, June 29, 2009

All The News that's Fit To Print - Billy Mays Dead at 50!......BUT WAIT THERE'S MORE!!!


OK, Farrah Fawcett, Michael Jackson - but Billy Mays - yes one of the most notable voices on TV in the 21st Century - For Whatever - Our Society is Responsible for the Great Success of Billy Mays - as in the past "Set it and Forget it" was Ronco's Hall of Fame pitch until Billy Mays took the spotlight

"But wait! THERE’S NO MORE!!"

Billy Mays - A true American Icon - The only man who was tolerated in speaking in "ALL CAPS" - Rest in Peace

Sunday, June 28, 2009

This Weekend - percentages, ratings, Facts

Saturday, June 27, 2009

Obama has had everyone read this.........

Obama has had everyone read this, and you should too. It provides a very different angle on the problem. http://www.newyorker.com/reporting/2009/06/01/090601fa_fact_gawande?yrail

- from John Mauldin

Saturday, June 20, 2009

John Mauldin - one of my favorite Commentators

From John:
This Time is Different*

"I have often written that the four most dangerous words in the investment world are "This Time It's Different." If memory serves me, I have written several e-letters disparaging various personages who have uttered those very words, and gone one to confirm later that it wasn't different. It almost never is. And yet - and yet! - I am going to make the case over the next few weeks that it really is different this time, with only a lonely asterisk as a caveat. What prompts my probable foolishness to tempt the investing gods is the rather large amount of bad analysis based on unreasonable (dare I say lazy or surface?) readings of statistics that is coming from the mainstream investment media and investment types with their built-in bias for bullish analysis. Normally, gentle reader, your humble analyst is a paragon of moderate sensibilities, but I have been pushed over a mental edge and need to restore balance. I anticipate that this topic will take several weeks, as trying to cover it all in one sitting would exhaust us both. It should be fun....we are on a track that looks far more like the Great Depression than the recessions of our lifetimes. To expect a normal recovery cycle, whether it is corporate profits or lending or consumer spending or capital investment or (pick a category) is just not reasonable. This is a period that is fundamentally, in so many ways, different. And the recovery (and there will be one!) will also be of a different warp and woof throughout the entire world economy...The asterisk on "This Time It's Different*"? Human nature hasn't changed. We are still driven by fear and greed. The business cycle has not been repealed. Free-market capitalism will get us back (with a few new rules of engagement). What's different will be the nature of this recovery. All the other eternal truths will remain."

From Me:

Finally, the phrase - "Too Big To Fail" yes our economy is too big to fail - and the requirement to restore growth is to eliminate the "waste:" unnecessary spending, using of credit, greed, planning and spending without really planning, Etc. ALSO - the speed of time in our lives and conditions cannot allow "the lapse of Recession/Depression" to happen - it is mathmatical and probable that this recovery will be called a Miracle - the government is doing the right thing by throwing money at everything (it's what we do - buy a problem away - it has worked every time and it will work now) What about the future cost. We live for now - the future will take care of itself - as it has in the past.

Thursday, June 18, 2009

Holden Caulfield would be 76 years old this year

J.D Salinger (The Recluse,) 90 years old, is living in a Hospital as someone is publishing a follow-up - to capitalize on the Classic Novel - blocked in Court from being published and sold............

Tuesday, June 2, 2009

From a trader suffering with Dementia

Update on the market from an insecure trader.  My current thinking is relying on 9000 on the Dow to be a "Basing Point" (place to stop and ponder) building pressure before making a decision - maybe even beginning a "Coiled Spring"


T2108 is showing a 90 number which is displaying an immediate turn-around is due. But we know it can stay above 80 for more that one would think.  It is also showing a MACD which is just crossing into positive territory (a conflict to the previous statement.) Also, the RSI has recently crossed above 50 (another conflict to the first statement.)

The Markets are making "good news" out of minimally positive news and the VIX is below the magical 30 (at 29.84) working on a daily charting channel where the support is at about 27 - 28.

Finally, when all fails I look at the Moon
Sunday is a full Moon - representing Change

The Fig!

Monday, June 1, 2009

The Economy - Boise, Idaho - Point of View


(Since no one really reads all this stuff - let me say that the Stock Market is rising to 9,000 and then will hold and eventually pull back (to as much as 7500) after the buyers lose their patience for recovery and the weary hype that will drown in itself.  Oil is increasing for the "wishing price" by the producers and sellers - it too may hit 75 but will eventually reduce itself to the low 50's. Real Estate like a bad batch of Muffins - has squatted to rise and will once again get "cooked in the squat.")

In any event - President Obama and his team will be winning world records in handling the problem that was mostly created by the Bush Administration - and holdover bad economic situations that had been created since the 1970's (when the unions crippled the auto industry - a two month industry Union Strike, that gave them the Power! The Seed was planted in the 1970's and I have no sympathy for the millions of workers who chewed on the fat until the plants closed - they were overpaid  since the mid 1970's had the best unemployment, best retirement plans and best medical insurance - Wow!  Can you imagine they are very disturbed that the ship sunk!)  I feel very sorry for all the auto people - but it was an obvious result.

Boise Idaho population about 225,000. Capital of Idaho.  College town: 10% of total population is represented by Students and Faculty.  Largest Employer: Micron Technology 10,000.

Boise is a well known entry to the surrounding Mountain Area in Fishing, Rafting, etc. Hunting, skiing, and other Mountain Recreation sports - winter and summer. 


Real Estate - The current dilemma: At June 1st 2009, There are a record number of unsold homes and previously owned homes for sale.  Rental rates are sinking 30% - as a confluence of ordinary rentals and Homes for sale/ turned into rentals are sinking the market.  There appears to be no recovery in Real Estate "for sale" and now "for rent" in sight.*

Employment - Unemployment in the last 12 months has gone up from 4.5 to 8.6% of total employment.

No current Recovery in sight.

*people are moving out of houses they can't afford - failing to sell the house, they are trying to rent the house while for sale - so the rent will pay the mortgage, insurance and taxes - which of course the rent will not do.  Then they are renting something cheaper...so they are paying rent on where they moved, plus all or some of the costs of the house they cannot Afford, Sell or Rent.
....I guess I would call this....Getting in Deeper

On a Macro Level (USA)

What Hasn't Changed (at all)?
The employment problem
The Real Estate problem
Transition of Failed Economics
Employment
Real Estate
Government Costs

What Has Changed?
A better smarter Administration
The Beginning of Transition of Failed Businesses
Automobile Industries
Banks and Financial Institutions
The price of Oil and Gas 
States, Cities and Towns - regrouping
Republican Party looks permanently paralysed
The general population has begun saving
spending less
using less credit/increase in Debit Cards
Borrowing less

What looks like progress but isn't
lower interest rates (no one is borrowing - Banks are hoarding)
Inflation - higher food prices - Oil rising without reason
Regrouping the Auto Industry - change will require 6 to 18 months
Regrouping the Financial Industry - the crooks are just looking for another twist

Just as an example - look at the weekend ads for Automobiles and Real Estate the Sellers have not changed how they were misleading consumers - It would be interesting to review 10 automobile sales - the same car, same dealer and see the differences in the prices - type of buyer (women, minorities, weak men)

Yesterday, you could reserve a quality room in a hotel, resort and it would be interesting to see the different rates paid by similar people - one example is $110 to $375 per nite/same room/same season/days of week/etc.... The Hotel Industry needs to be severely punished by the economy and the consumer - the consumer should take no prisoners

Thursday, May 28, 2009

Building list on next downturn of the Markets

Without any knowledge of the markets, the likely of making mistakes, a history of making big mistakes - an arrogance masking ignorance....I am anticipating the markets working their way up to 9,000 -

I posted this 2 months ago (March 23rd):

"My knowledge of the markets is limited and dangerous, having said that, My first impression of what is happening:
1. An enormous amount of $ is going to enter our Economy - This will Cause:
A. Inflation
B. The price of oil and comodities will begin to rise faster than other things.
C. The markets will stay at this level or increase to 9,000 - Next 3 mos.
D. The $ will fall against the other currencies of the world unless they fall too!

Republican "Senator Boner" will make lots of noise signifying nothing - he will eventually go limp."


So from 2+ months ago, we are getting close to 9,000. AFTER THAT I believe we will get at least a 1500 point downward adjustment - and then the markets will spend the remainder of the summer struggling in the range 7,500 to 9,000. Post labor day movements are anybody's guess. (Surprises? After all the restructuring of the Auto Industries - "Survivor Sales" will continue. Retail Food markets (divided by the likes of Winco and WalMart on one level, and the name brand retailers (Albertsons,etc.) will suffer a reality - Esp. the Brand Retailers.
The housing market is in it "pronounced" 4th round of recovery, without recovery in sight - will cause concern - a slower than anyone expected recovery. in the "Fool me Once, shame on you - Fool me Twice Shame on me" category - employment will begin to selectively get better - except people will start paying down more debt (a form of savings) and will begin real "Hoarding" another form of savings.)

During the time in a lower range I will be purchasing 2011 Call options in the following companies and ETF's

Cisco Systems
MMM
INTC
DOW
DD
Natural Gas

I currently hold long-term a large # of shares in PWE
I have a 20% hedge position in PWE "Puts"
I will be increasing this position hedge position to 50%
PWE is both an oil play a fairly large dividend play

I currently hold long term calls in GE, INTC and some gambling positions in XTXI (stock) and Clearwire (Call options)

PS. Yesterday, I heard an interview by Larry Kudlow with former Vice President Cheney - Dead Men Talking!

Wednesday, May 27, 2009

Jackpot! ..... a 6mos old tall Border Collie



Thursday, May 21, 2009

Spring - nothing like it! ...The "Fig" and "RiojaMan"

Duality - a conflict?

Wednesday, May 13, 2009

"You only have to be right Once!"

From Trader-X

Mark Cuban on Success and Motivation

I am not a fan of Mark Cuban a lot of the time, but I respect his business acumen and success. 

Over on his blog he made multiple posts on "Success and Motivation", and they are well worth reading. Not just for the Michael Dell and Bill Gates stories, but for a look at how he built his business with and from nothing and for valuable insights that can be applied to whatever you undertake in life. 

As he says, "you only have to be right once."

Grab a beer, sit down and relax, and give it a read.

on another note William "Bill" Siedman - Rest in Peace - CPA "Honest Broker" past FDIC Chmn

Mr. Seidman was born April, 29, 1921, in Grand Rapids, Mich. He received his undergraduate degree from Dartmouth College, his LLB from Harvard University and his MBA from the University of Michigan's Ross School of Business. From 1985 to 1991, Mr. Seidman served as the fourteenth chairman of the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation. Under President George H.W. Bush, Seidman was tapped to head up the newly created federal agency called the Resolution Trust Corp. (RTC), which landed the mammoth task of cleaning up the S&L messBill Seidman

Darkness Revisited


In the past 7 years I have become a student of How thoughts of suicide become a reality - a no turn away tragedy (for the living, yes and even the victim.)  It becomes a ratchet with one-way barbs that keep getting tighter in a one direction - "Darkness Visible" the title of William Styron's book of his voyage (a mere 89 pages.)  

From a friend talking about someone who was into dancing "in their group" who followed dance floors around Bakersfield, California:

"I made it to they gym,.... started a painting... and got photos organized for a DVD presentation for my friend's Memorial. It was sure fun looking at all of the things he was so good at...diving, circus acts, high-diving, skiing, ski patrol, skydiving formation, hiking, dancing, singing telegrams and stripping, teaching music, 6 different instruments, musical instrument repair (learned from his father), herpetology, sign language, snakes.
 
He treated each person like they were special, insisted on opening the girl's door, dressed nice always, . He always improved his dance technique, but he was still more about the fun. If you messed up, he made light of it, or humorously made an issue of it and went on. He made it his business that if there were not enough guys to lead, he made sure all the girls got their turn dancing. He just made everything fun for everybody by his own enthusiasm for the activity. He was all about women, but never inappropriate. Women loved him....but he was a guy's guy too. Then he met and married a woman that was just as outgoing as he was...so much for that now.... His wife IS a character. Very funny - she will keep you laughing."

On the day of his choice he selected and failed at 3 ways to commit suicide and finally  - he succeeded.  RIP

desperate, destructive, determined - the intensity of his will must have had him moving at light speed - amazingly unstable, shaking - mentally distraught - such self punishment!  Is there a Hell?  Yes, but it is here on earth for some - How do you intervene when you have been eliminated mentally by the victim...that is what intervention is - it begins with reading William Styron's book - "Darkness Visible" so one can understand what is happening.   Intervention means stepping in to an unwelcome situation and being steadfast!

personally, I thank my children, their mother, and a good friend (who gave me the book)  for being there.



Saturday, May 9, 2009

This Picture represents my current problem - 24/7

Posted by Picasa
I live by a primary motto created by Charlie Brown
"I like to have everything so good I can take it for granted"

In this picture the Keystone represents my head and the adjacent two rocks represent my right and left shoulder. The connection of my right (picture left) shoulder and my head is and has been a source of cronic pain (24/7 if you will) Several Weeks ago I visited a Chiropractor for the first time in my life. To No avail and much frustration. I am now communicating with a ZEN Mistress who is "over the top" with suggestions of Accupuncture, and other assorted natural remedies including lots of massage, etc. I am currently using "Dirty Drugs" Advil, Advil Combos, and some minor acceptables like "Heat" Arnica, etc. No one has suggested Extra Crunchy Natural Peanut butter with Mostly fruit natural preserves on heavy dark multi seeded bread. No one has suggest "Break the Sheet Rock" aggressive sexual Contact. The Pain is about to force me to give in to Zen Natural Ravi Shenkar ultimate needle stimulation...Oh my God(!) Charlie Brown - What's a mortal to do?
রবি শংকর*
*a Hindu, almost always a Brahmin, who has memorized a substantial portion of the Vedas, along with the corresponding rhythms and melodies for chanting or singing them.

Although ZEN is mostly Budhist in nature - the Hindu squeeze in their interpretation...like any Hindu would, including Charlie Brown. Further more, Charlie Brown has communicated his answer to me in the words of .... Seng-t’san (d.606)

"Pursue not the outer entanglements; dwell not in the inner void, Be serene in the oneness of things and dualism vanishes by itself"

I live by the Mantra: "Pain vanishes by itself"

PS. The accuracy and relavency of the facts in this post are at the leasure of the writer and cannot be challenged as fact - consider fantasy - facing factual frustration.

Update Jun 26th - it has been a month since my first Acupuncture treatment. After the 2nd Treatment - all the pain is gone - it's a miracle. After some strenuous activities - it's still gone! The proceedure was provided by a most beautiful woman - Jean Kuty, Boise, Idaho.

Thursday, May 7, 2009

The Dude Abides - Attitude - the color of life

Sunday, May 3, 2009

Are The Good Times Really Over - Oh "Merlie?" - The good times are just beginning, heavens to mercy! - Let The Good Times Role!


Let us Pray....Then we can all lay down and die

Fortunately, he met Bob Dylan in time - and began to sing with Willie Nelson The Okie from Muskogie was saved - not born again - just came alive - like risen from the dead!

PS. For those of you who are religiously inflicted, let me say that "Science" will tell you that you are only born once - no 2nd chances no matter who says so!

Saturday, May 2, 2009

Matthew Higgins - Rest In Peace

In Matt's lifetime, I was but a brief stranger who happened to meet him while he was Dealing with his Life's greatest Moment. You are a tight and impressive family, each in your own ways bringing love and Charm to the table.  Thank you for letting me enjoy being with you in Arizona and for introducing me to Matt.

I have a very favorite Poem that expresses, better, my wishes for both you and Matt - 

Beannacht (”Blessing”) by John O’Donohue

On the day when
the weight deadens
on your shoulders
and you stumble,
may the clay dance
to balance you.

And when your eyes
freeze behind
the grey window
and the ghost of loss
gets in to you,
may a flock of colours,
indigo, red, green,
and azure blue
come to awaken in you
a meadow of delight.

When the canvas frays
in the currach of thought
and a stain of ocean
blackens beneath you,
may there come across the waters
a path of yellow moonlight
to bring you safely home.

May the nourishment of the earth be yours,
may the clarity of light be yours,
may the fluency of the ocean be yours,
may the protection of the ancestors be yours.


And so... may a slow wind.....
work... these words of love around you, 
an invisible cloak to mind your life.


I know that Matt will Live in everything you think about and do for years to come - and for that Matt Lives!

For me, he was a kind and gentle man...still looking for what life had to offer - in these trying times


Paul


Thursday, April 30, 2009

For those of you who have the patience to read some thoughts of this spring:

My fellow right-wingers, calm down. The new president is not the 
antichrist, Stalin or even a radical.

By David Horowitz
April 2, 2009

I have been watching an interesting phenomenon on the right, which isbeginning to cause me concern. I am referring to the over-the-top hysteria in response to the first months in office of our new president, which distinctly reminds me of the "Bush is Hitler" crowd on the left.

Speaking of this crowd, have you seen any "I am so sorry" postings from that quarter as Obama continues and even escalates the former president's war policy in Afghanistan and attempts to consolidate his military occupation of Iraq?

Conservatives, please. Let's not duplicate the manias of the left as we figure out how to deal with Mr. Obama. He is not exactly the antichrist, although a disturbing number of people on the right are convinced he is.

I have recently received commentaries that claim that "Obama's speeches are unlike any political speech we have heard in American 
history" and "never has a politician in this land had such a quasi-religious impact on so many people" and "Obama is a narcissist," which leads the author to then compare Obama to David Koresh, Charles Manson, Stalin and Saddam Hussein. Excuse me while I blow my nose.

This fellow has failed to notice that all politicians are narcissists and that a recent American president was a world-class exponent of 
the imperial me. So what? Political egos are one of the reasons the Founders put checks and balances on executive power. As for serial lying, is there a politician that cannot be accused of that? And a pretty high bar in this category, and we survived it. As for Obama's speeches, they are hardly in the Huey Long, Louis Farrakhan, Fidel Castro vein. They are in fact eloquently and cleverly centrist and sober.

So what's the panic? It is true that Obama has shown surprising ineptitude in his first months in office, but he's not a zero with no 
accomplishments as many conservatives seem to think -- unless you regard beating the Clinton machine and winning the presidency as nothing. But in doing this you fall into the "Bush-is-an-idiot" bag of liberal miasmas.

It is also true Obama has ceded his domestic economic agenda to the House Democrats and spent a lot of money in the process. But what's the surprise in this? After all, Bush and McCain both proposed (and in Bush's case pushed through) massive government giveaways (which 
amount to government takeovers as well). This is bad, but it doesn't make Obama a closet Mussolini, however deplorable the conservatives among us may regard it. Moreover, he's already run into political resistance even within his own party. Charlie Rangel has made it clear that the itemized deduction tax hike is not going through his committee -- and that should tell you that the American system, the 
one the Founders created, is still in place.

Even as astute a conservative thinker as Mark Steyn has been swept up in the tide that thinks Obama is a "transformative" radical. But look again at his approach to the wars in Afghanistan and Iraq. In both cases, as noted, he is carrying out the Bush policies -- the same 
that he once joined his fellow Democrats in condemning. And that should be reassuring to anyone concerned about where he is heading as commander in chief.

In other words, while it's reasonable to be unhappy with a Democratic administration and even concerned because the Democrats are now a socialist party in the European sense, we are not witnessing the coming of the antichrist. A good strategy for political conflicts is to understand your opponent first -- not to underestimate him, but not to overestimate him either.

Once conservatives do that, they will find some silver linings in the first moves of the Obama administration. Through a combination of ineptitude and zeal, Obama has in two short months locked down the conservative and Republican base. On fetal stem-cell research, on borders (e-verification), on spending, on unions, on shutting down talk radio, Obama has flexed the leftist muscle so nakedly and unmistakably that there isn't a conservative left who will vote 
Democratic in the next election (and there were many who did so in the last).

As we move forward, Obama faces increasingly tough choices in the 
wars against Islamic fascism in Afghanistan, Pakistan, Gaza and Iran. Hopefully, he will make the right choices, and should he do so conservatives will need to be there to support him. If he makes the wrong choices, conservatives will need to be there to oppose him. But neither our support nor our opposition should be based on hysterical 
responses to policies that we just don't like. Let's leave that kind of behavior to the liberals who invented it.
--

Some Odds and Ends today - Spring 2009

In the woods where many rivers run among the unbent hills
and Fields of our Childhood - where ricks and rainbows mix
in memory although our "fields" were streets
I see again those myriad mornings rise
when every living thing casts its shadow in eternity
and all day long the light like early morning
with its sharp shadows shadowing
a paradise that I had hardly dreamed of
nor hardly knew to think of this unshaved today 
with its derisive rooks that rise above dry trees
and caw and cry and question every other
spring and thing - Lawrence Ferlinghetti

from across the pond:

Procol Harum's A Whiter Shade of Pale is the most played song in 
public places in the past 75 years, according to a chart compiled for 
BBC Radio 2.

The song, with its distinctive organ riff, stayed at number one for 
six weeks in the UK in the summer of 1967.

Queen's Bohemian Rhapsody was at number two followed by All I Have To Do Is Dream by the Everly Brothers. There was no place in the top 10 for The Beatles.

Thursday, April 23, 2009

Suicide Redux from December 23, 2008


I wrote this last December after the reaction by some to the Bernard Madoff Scandal.  Since Last December there have been many Suicides - by Unemportant people - who don't count - until the Latest "Big Guy" at the freddiemac, fannymae lending consortium.  He was 41 - a financial superstar.....good bye!

If you have a friend, who is in a deep state of Depression, for your knowledge - a must rea is a small book (84 pages) a self account of a great writer, William Styron "Darkness Visible" - and after you have read it - give it to your friend to read - as someone did for me.

Suicide Watch - Dead Men Walking as I write.

Suicide is condemning yourself to death. First you visit "Hell on Earth" - the real and only hell - then you see that every turn available is unacceptable. Anxiety reaches astronomical levels, Searching for the way - out of this hell. You eliminate social contact around your life, including intimates - they cannot help, only interfere - It's a private matter of the utmost, and can only be experienced by one. There are many ways to commit suicide - the internet has thorough discussions, mostly by people who have failed. It behooves everyone to learn the best method for themselves - and then to fine tune the procedure - so that success is guaranteed. How to Point the Gun, what pills to take, the importance of the plastic bag and rubberband - unless of course you're going to jump or drown yourself (messy.) There is a point in anyone's life (anyone!) that suicide becomes a thought, moved up to an option, moved up to a plan and "Execution." It is...the perfect crime!

Friday, April 10, 2009

A Full Moon doesn't necessarily bring out the Best in US - Yet I miss these days - “Let ‘er buck!”

Tuesday, April 7, 2009

Full Moon - lots of pressure - Big Change Coming


Full Moon - April 9 - Thursday

Monday, April 6, 2009

Some Days You're the Dog and others the Mule

Friday, April 3, 2009

On The Road - Kernville, California in the Sierra + RIMM

As I strive to keep myself in the weather temperature range of 75 Degree Days and 40 Degree nights - I have arrived in Kernville, California - to the surprise of Research in Motion's (Blackberry) earnings that jacked up the price (+25%) - My Major "Call Holding" for the past month which is the amount of time I have been using the Blackberry Storm.  Assuming I do not do anything foolish - I have accumulated (in this gain) enough funds to make my next 6 months of living - "on the house" during these troubled times - although I was equipped to manage the costs - in any event.  This is a beautiful Town - beautiful Area - Classic Lake/River town in the Sierra Mountain Range.  The Temperature at arrival was 75 degrees and early this morning (5am) 40 Degrees( Elevation about 3,000ft)... So....all the "Bells" lined up on the slot machine. - More to come, Words, Pictures, gains and losses.

PS. For those of you who are Fibonacci Devotees, The RIMM price this morning hit the "high line" of Feb 09/09 at $60 and retracted slightly - I'm drawing an "inside Fib" between the top two lines and will close if no support at the 50% of the "inside lines."  Addendum: Needed to go out and play closed call position when price was 58.80 - stock was basing - so the remainder of todays action will not happen until maybe 2:30 - bird in the hand....

"Looking at large positive gap openings for RIMM regardless of the catalyst (earnings, news, etc) shows a similar trend to its typical pattern on positive earnings report days.  Today's gap opening (+25%) is likely to be the second strongest in the stock's history, and the eighth positive gap of more than 15%.  Following the prior seven 15%+ gaps, RIMM has averaged a gain of 4.9% from the open to close with positive returns 71% of the time."


Lake Isabella, adjacent to the Kern River


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Rock Climbers going acquatic 

Monday, March 30, 2009

What's wrong with Texas - This just defines Texas


Bob Perry - Mr. Swift Boat controversy, and major Houston Residential Home Contractor - an equal to George W Bush in committing crimes in the open - and walking away - "Texas Free!"

Obama TELLS Auto Industry and directs Change

Rick Wagner has agreed to relinquish the posts at the request of the White House.

The chairman and chief executive of General Motors is to resign with immediate effect as the US Goverment prepares another multi-billion dollar bailout plan for the company.

GM has also announced a major shake-up of its board of directors.

The changes come just hours before President Barack Obama plans to unveil additional bailout for GM and its competitor Chrysler, which have already received more than $17bn in government loans.

John Boner (R) House Minority Leader - will bring the House (Republicans) down. - A Prediction!

PS. The impatience of the American Public, the faith that someone else will correct the problem and the finger pointing by the folks who caused the damage to our Economy is a lesson to be learned. A full blown realization of the "State of the Union" should surface somewhere around July 4th - Independence Day (end of the 2nd Quarter.) This current, but temporary, relief phase (yes, it's almost over) actually marks the beginning of the 2nd act of a 5 act Tragedy.

Thursday, March 26, 2009

Living on the Road Without Design 75 - 40

I plan on moving to other locations based for my preference to see places I have read about but not visited.  Encouraging my current interests, visiting my family and keeping the weather perameters between 75 Degree Days and 40 degree nights - Maximum Sunlight and low humidity.

I am just finishing up my winter in Arizona where the temperature ranges, etc have fulfilled my needs.  As I review my next stay, Kernville, California ("A") - I see the temperature range has moved to the desired 75/45 range, excellent sunlight and Whitewater to keep learning the basics of Whitewater Kayaking.  The Snow melt of the Sierra Mountains is just beginning and the waters are rising in the river.  As the Temperature increases increases into the 80's I'll be moving on to Idaho where the Snow melt will be just beginning above Boise, Id. I have never visited Kernville in the past, although last year I spent some time on the east side of the Sierra and knew I would return.
My next stop is the Payette River in Horseshoe Bend, Idaho (North of Boise)("B")  - continuing Whitewater rafting instruction as the temperature enters my range in May. From Horseshoe Bend - I have an unfulfilled break (Month of June) for about 3 to 4 weeks before I go to the Sun Valley/Stanley Idaho area (Salmon River) about July 1st.
View Larger Map

The entire trip north
View Larger Map
A Lake Pleasant, Peoria, AZ
B. Kernville, California (Kern River) April 1 to 1st week of May
C. Horseshoe Bend, Idaho (Payette River) May 6 to 1st week of June
Free time - 1st week of June thru july 4th
D. Sun Valley, Idaho (Salmon River) July 4th thru Labor Day

Monday, March 23, 2009

The market goes up $500 on Trillion $ Announcement - Cactus Flowers Bloom!



"I love the smell of Toxic Assets in the Morning"  - Trader Mike

My knowledge of the markets is limited and dangerous, having said that, My first impression of what is happening:

1. An enormous amount of $ is going to enter our Economy - This will Cause:
A. Inflation
B. The price of oil and comodities will begin to rise faster than other things.
C. The markets will stay at this level or increase to 9,000 - Next 3 mos.
D. The $ will fall against the other currencies of the world unless they fall too!

Republican Senator Boner will make lots of noise signifying nothing - he will eventually go limp.

Life goes one - what a wonderful start to spring - nice weather here in AZ and looks good in CA

After an abnormal amount of heavy rain in the desert this winter the desert is enjoying a magnificent Bloom - Cactus Flowers!

Friday, March 20, 2009

Barack Obama (The President!*) w/ Jay Leno

*A Real President - A Real Person - No BullShit!

Thursday, March 19, 2009

Sometimes the guy who "thinks with his "dick" is the smartest man in the room!

The ex-New York Gov. says that while the cash being given to executives of the bailed out insurer are maddening, the real concern should be the funds going to counterparties.

Eliot Spitzer at the resignation news conference in Albany, 12 March 2008
"Virtually all" of the $80 billion-plus in the initial AIG bailout went to the company's counterparties, including nearly $13 billion to investment bank Goldman Sachs (GSFortune 500) alone, Spitzer said.

"Why did that happen? What questions were asked? Why did we need to pay 100 cents on the dollar on those transactions if we had to pay anything?" he asked. "What would have happened to the financial system had it not been paid? These are the questions that should be pursued," he said.

Monday, March 16, 2009

Bonita - Mistress of Dandelion Wine


Saturday, March 14, 2009

"Dandy Lion" Wine Shoppe

Thursday, March 5, 2009

Wednesday, March 4, 2009

“Americans, Churchill once remarked, will always do the right thing - after they have exhausted all the other alternatives. But if we are still waiting for Keynes to save us when Davos comes around next year, it may well be too late. Only a Great Restructuring can end the Great Repression. It needs to happen soon.” - from The Big Picture - Barry Ritholtz

Monday, March 2, 2009

5 Rules for Life - a daily event - This is my favorite

Here are Sandip's "Five Rules For Life" (for this moment):

1.) Move your boundaries.
Every day life's greatest ideas are developed through evolution, just the way nature intended. Quantum leaps are hard and not needed. The only boundary that is unbreakable is "God". By "God" I don't mean religious; far from it - my "God" resides in my inner balance, my conscience, and as my guiding light (the one that tells me what is innately right and what is wrong; there are no shades of grey). It does not require me to go to a place of worship, it requires me to listen to myself...which leads to my second rule.

2.) Enjoy solitude.
There is beauty in solitude; remember the sayings "silence is golden" and it is "better to remain silent and be thought a fool than to open your mouth and remove all doubt"? Whether it means shutting off the TV or "listening to the silence", you need to start.

3.) Embrace pain.
When you are afraid of failing, or of pain, or of the unknown...you will get nothing done in life (be it love, friendship, family, or work). There is beauty in pain and suffering; beautiful profound things can be born out of pain and endurance. This is an extension of never giving up and learning constantly.

4.) Seek balance.
"Yin and Yang" is so much more than culturally trendy words. It's an attitude of the mind and heart together. Man & Woman. Plus & Minus. Black & White. Day & Night. Love & Hate. Take everything in balance and moderation. Don't be a doormat, but don't be an ass. Be kind but don't be patronizing. Be helpful but not to those that abuse your help. Meaningful, profound things in life are NOT the flashy, trendy distractions; they are hidden, covered over, and need time and care to nurture and bring forth. 



5.) Question [almost] everything.
Question authority, rules, and society...but never question values; values never change. Honesty and integrity were the same 1,000 years ago as today, and will be the same 1,000 years from now. Our tools change but humanity doesn't.

Sandip currently resides in Calgary, Canada.

Sunday, March 1, 2009

DEPRESSION


We have entered a turn of the Century Depression.  It is layering in like lava from as volcano - those nearest are hit first - sooner or later...it covers the land.  Why is it not recognized in public by the media, public officials, etc. etc?  Delivery of bad news - kills the messenger. Sometime in July, after the 2nd Quarter, A confirmation of Recession will either be stated or, there will be an economic U-turn.  

The Current Recession began 9 months prior it being recognized "Officially."

UPDATE: Monday Morning - It's on the table - Much bigger Problems at AIG and Warren Buffett says Economy is in Shambles thru 2009 (translation  = Depression)

pre-market DJI less than 7000 - should pass by 6800 maybe even 6500 to base of 6,000